Thursday, July 23, 2009

7/22 - Market Analysis (stage 2c)

one word says it all


SPX - bullish


SPY - bullish


RKH - bull flag?


UNG - bullish


COPPER - bullish


VIX - bullish SPX


ETFs


HEAT - mixed


Analysis: all the charts listed are bullish...when i scan my stocks, its about a 2 to 1 bullish to bearish ratio...before it was about 4 to 1...so the bullishness is slowing down...but definitely still not over...safe to say that we will most likely go higher tomorrow...only question is whether we will finally break out of financials...

Wednesday, July 22, 2009

7/21 - Market Says

Slick Mr Bull just peacefully stomping over the bears


SPX weekly - neckline


SPX - bullish


SPY - bullish


RKH - bearish


SMH - resistance?


USO - not yet stopping


UUP - holds support


COPPER - virgin territory


VIX - descending triangle


ETFs - financials lag


HEAT - mix



ISEE - slight bearish divergence


Analysis: always seems to be reason why u should doubt the rally and everyday for 10 straight days now, the market finds a way to go higher...today surely felt like the start of a pullback, but that all ended as the indexes closed right back at the highs....small ranges but still strong moves by the bulls...i officially got stopped out today and feeling more insecure about not being long than relieved about being in cash...guess that means i still favor the bulls

Monday, July 20, 2009

7/20 - Market Says

slow churning but never stopping...


SPX - new high on light volume


SPY - churning higher


DJIA - new high on lil vol.


XLF - light volume pullback


USO - resistance


UNG - resistance


UUP - support?

VIX - descending triangle


ETFs - weak dollar led materials rally


HEAT - bullish


ISEE - bearish divergence


Analysis: i am guessing many traders are going crazy from this unending bullishness....i can see it just from looking at ISEE...bearish divergence several days already in this last batch of bullishness. support for UUP and resistance for UNG and USO does make me think that we are very close to the end of the rally..but that can all change if those levels are broken...just tough to break them on the first attempt and on such weak volume...but as these are all just predictions, its still best to stay long and stay on the correct side of 30ema...when that changes, then it will be time to go short...but for now, the smart money is staying long and loving the consistent (yet slow) rally

Saturday, July 18, 2009

7/17 - Market Says

i say...we can go either way from here


SPX - rectangle resistance


SPY - resistance holds to the penny


COMPQ - bullish


RKH - stage 3


USO - ready to fall back lower?


UNG - already has 1 foot off the ledge


VIX - finally got a new low


ETFs - how weird is it to see SPY stronger than any of the individual sectors..a first for me


HEAT - mixed bag...slightly more bearish


ISEE - bearish divergence


Analysis: stalemate is what we are going through. a new flow of bulls must step in soon or else we are destined to go back down into the trading range...seeing how its summer, cycle traders must be thinking we are bound to go back into the rectangle and resistance holds...fundamentalists are most likely thinking that we are overbought and the earnings still have not caught up to the value of stocks yet so we need a correct lower...as for me, a technician, i will just follow the trend...nearterm its good to hold longs, and longterm i am just unsure...and when i mean longterm, i do mean 5 days...i have no idea what will happen next...i see mixed signals but to simplify it a lot, its bascially a question of which is more important? tech or energy? energy looks very ready to fall back down but tech is nicely in virgin territory and ready to rally more...energy brought us lower last week, this week, tech is bringing us higher...it all depends on which sector remains king next week...

Thursday, July 16, 2009

7/16 - Market Says

Bulls continue their unwavering climb against all odds...


SPX - breaks more resistance...1 more left


SPX 30 - bullish


SPY - bad tick?


COMPQ - bullish new high


RKH - side bearish


SMH - very bullish, leading indicator


OIH - no longer bearish


XME - neutral


USO - still pulling back


UNG - showing strength


VIX - support holds...confusing yet again


VXN - bullish COMPQ...makes more sense than VIX


ETFs - financials lag...


HEAT - bull neutral


ISEE - no bearish divergence yet again


Analysis: alright, i do have to say that the bulls have the upper hand and seems to be able to hold onto it...one more push up and everything will be confirmed...a lingering here would make me kind of worried about monday as the market might throw us another curveball if the bulls and bears don't make up your decision by then and remain within the range...VIX and RKH look bearish to me...while anything tech is very bullish...definitely still the time to hold longs and buy dips...i think we will go higher and follow SMH's lead...