Tuesday, February 23, 2010

2/23 - stage 4a

2m: bearish


SPX week, resistance from very old trendline matches today's reversal


SPX - first down day in a long time..reversal or holds in trendline?


SPY - below 30ema...should go lower


XLF - fell hard...should go lower...maybe a bounce because sold off so hard today


UUP - dollar strong was a very bearish sign today...


JJC - copper showed the bear's hand yesterday


VIX - able to confirm 2x bottom and should be able to go higher


NYMO - confirmed reversal today...now we wonder if it will fall down as fast as it went up


ETFs - safety best, and momentum worse...bearish


  • feeling pretty bearish from looking at so many charts
  • i just always feel weird when so many signals so bearishness
  • the trendline should not be able to hold as support but always tough to believe that market will quietly go lower without a nice fight as we went up so strong lately
  • dollar will be key imo

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