Thursday, March 5, 2009

3/5 - Market Analysis

SPX - new lows


SPY - deadcat yesterday


COMPQ - new low close


MDY - new low close...last guy to do it


RKH - way lower new low


GLD - trending back up?


FXY - bounce off support


USO - resistance holding


VIX - neutral


A/D - very very bearish


ETFs - financials horrible


Heat Map - red all around


Analysis: as mentioned in the charts, yesterday turned out to be the best shorting opportunity in weeks...definitely a textbook deadcat bounce that stopped out some weak shorts and let the smart guys pounce on the short side late in the day yesterday...fundamentally, it was a buy on the rumor by the small frys looking for hopeful talks from china and today was a sell on the news of the denial from china of a new stimulus...either way, we should have all seen it coming and thats why i was kicking myself today...anyway...looking forward, charts show that we will continue to go down as supports are all gone in the indexes so other than a day or 2 pause day or bounce, we should just keep falling...every rally should be shorted...BUT since today was such a widespread selloff with nearly everything down, tomorrow will most likely give us a small bounce or some boring pause day...that being said, tomorrow's EOD might be another great shorting opportunity going into monday...one last note...notice how defensive areas like GLD and UUP have a good chance to resume its rally...

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