Saturday, July 18, 2009

7/17 - Market Says

i say...we can go either way from here


SPX - rectangle resistance


SPY - resistance holds to the penny


COMPQ - bullish


RKH - stage 3


USO - ready to fall back lower?


UNG - already has 1 foot off the ledge


VIX - finally got a new low


ETFs - how weird is it to see SPY stronger than any of the individual sectors..a first for me


HEAT - mixed bag...slightly more bearish


ISEE - bearish divergence


Analysis: stalemate is what we are going through. a new flow of bulls must step in soon or else we are destined to go back down into the trading range...seeing how its summer, cycle traders must be thinking we are bound to go back into the rectangle and resistance holds...fundamentalists are most likely thinking that we are overbought and the earnings still have not caught up to the value of stocks yet so we need a correct lower...as for me, a technician, i will just follow the trend...nearterm its good to hold longs, and longterm i am just unsure...and when i mean longterm, i do mean 5 days...i have no idea what will happen next...i see mixed signals but to simplify it a lot, its bascially a question of which is more important? tech or energy? energy looks very ready to fall back down but tech is nicely in virgin territory and ready to rally more...energy brought us lower last week, this week, tech is bringing us higher...it all depends on which sector remains king next week...

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