Friday, July 3, 2009

7/2 - Market Analysis

Forecast - very very very soon now...



SPX - H+S unconfirmed


SPY - bearish but way oversold


DJIA - textbook head and shoulders pattern unconfirmed


COMPQ - 2x top unconfirmed


RKH - side


USO - 2x top confirmed


UNG - bearish


VIX - still bearish


ETFs


Heat - all red


Analysis: from individual charts as well as these charts, my conclusion is that we are gonna breakdown...many stocks have already broken down, most notably energy and retail...last to fall should be tech but before then, financials and the indexes will probably breakdown...we can see the breakdown tomorrow in the indexes but as we are way oversold, unless tomorrow is a huge volume selloff based on news, i feel we are more likely to recover slightly tomorrow before a huge drop tuesday or wednesday...but for now, no green signal to sell short the indexes but definitely better to be holding puts than calls at this point on individual charts...

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