Monday, February 2, 2009

2/2 - Market Analysis (stage 1)

SPX - downtrend on uptrend support


SPY - slightly higher low



SPY revisited - 30min uptrend showing strength



COMPQ - pure triangle...support now from it


XLF - landed right on support


USO - still at support, light volume


VIX - bearish candle as it closed at the lows...


A/D - nasdaq leading


ETFs - tech is by far the leader today


Analysis: i am slightly unsure how important that higher low on SPY 30" chart is...overall, from the 10min graph, we traded within a perfect rectangle pattern with clearly defined support and resistance...as resistance held up and we are still in a 30min downtrend, i suspect that we will still go lower...BUT as most charts are at support and VIX looking topping yet again, there is many reasons for tomorrow to give us a reversal day that confirm the need to get out of shorts...personally, today felt more like a pauseday before a resumption of the fall than a setup to a reversal...

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